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N2

そうにない

Unlikely to, Showing no signs of

ごめん、定時ていじで上あがれそうにないから先さきに食たべてて。

Sorry, it seems unlikely that I can leave work on time, so go ahead and eat without me.

Explanation

Attach it to the verb stem (「そうにない」 or 「そうもない」). It means 'it doesn't look like it will ...'. Judging from what you see, there is hardly any sign that it will happen in the foreseeable time: 「雨は止みそうにない」 (It doesn't look like the rain will stop). It is more vivid and firm than a plain guess like 「止まないだろう」. The polite form is 「そうにありません」.

Mixed up with

For verbs, the natural negative of 'looks like' is 「stem + そうにない」, e.g. 「出来そうにない」; to strengthen it, 「そうもない」.

Adjectives use 「stem + なさそうだ」: 「高くなさそうだ」 (doesn't look expensive), 「暇ではなさそうだ」 (doesn't look free).

「~そうではない」 sounds like a rebuttal ('it's not as it looks'); to say something seems unlikely, prefer 「そうにない」.

Examples

  1. このストーブでは、いつまでたっても暖あたたまりそうにない。

    This stove is showing no signs of warming up, no matter how much time is allotted.

  2. 明日あした雪ゆきは降ふりそうにない。

    It is unlikely that it will snow tomorrow.

  3. 今日きょうは雨あめが降ふりそうにもないから釣つりに行いこう!

    It is unlikely that it will rain today, so let's go fishing!

Tested 6 times in past papers

N3 · Dec 2023, Q42N3 · Jul 2023, Q46N2 · Dec 2021, Q41N3 · Jul 2017, Q41N2 · Dec 2016, Q43N1 · Dec 2012, Q34